Gettingrealaboutclimateriskstoproperty

Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Aviation are responsible for 2-3% of emissions worldwide. Jet planes have lifetimes measured in decades and also take decades to develop, meaning jet planes that burn kerosene will continue to be around for decades. Electric planes can only carry smaller numbers of people and travel limited distances (a few hundred miles), while Hybrid Electric planes are more promising they still require years of development till they are available on the market, whereas current planes rolling off the assembly line will be flying in 2050 and beyond.

A better solution is net zero synthetic jet fuel. This is synthetic jet fuel made from a combination of C02 pulled out of the air and hydrogen from surrounding air/water – powered by renewable electricity. This solution can be a full substitute for traditional jet fuel, truly carbon neutral, and displaces no food and agriculture. Several government and industry projects exist to start producing small amounts of this fuel including Westküste 100 in Germany, Sunfire in Germany, Prometheus Fuels in America, Climateworks in Zurich, and Carbon Engineering in Canada. What’s missing is the matching between market need for net zero carbon fuels, and preliminary agreements with some of these project start-ups. This fuel can also be used for other carbon intensive industries with no ready fuel substitutes

A cross industry group, SkyNRG, has formed to promote purchasing this and other sustainable fuels for airlines as the pilot plant is constructed (online 2021-2022). Multiple actors including government, oil and gas companies, airports, cities, and airlines are involved. The missing trigger is a major airline and/or corporate signing a deal for purchasing net zero aviation fuel. The pilot plant is under construction, and as protests against aviation continue, airlines like Delta announce billion dollar carbon neutral initiatives, and flight intensive industries like consulting announce net zero company goals - Only a few major customers for this fuel may be needed to reach a tipping point and begin a rapid adoption of net zero aviation fuel.

 

Actor(s)

Aviation sector

 

Impulse (trigger)

«Impulse / trigger»

 

Criticality

«Criticality.»

 

Feedback Dynamics

«Feedback Dynamics»

 

Timescale and scaleability

«Timescale / Scaleability»

 

Resistance

«Resistance»

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